Warren is at risk of losing her home state, the latest indignity in her long slide in the polls in her own backyard. As recently as October, the two-term senator held a 20-percentage point lead over Sanders, according to a WBUR poll. In the latest version of the poll, released Friday, she trailed him by 8 points.
It would certainly be disappointing for Warren to lose her home state, but not especially surprising. I lived in Boston for the past four years; while Warren is relatively popular there, she also has some tense relationships with the press and activism community in the state.
People I’ve worked with in Boston media feel abandoned by her in favor of national press. She’s also been savaged by a lot of the conservative press in Boston and rural Massachusetts.
She’s also burned a lot of bridges with the activism community. I’ve heard its difficult to get her to attend events if she isn’t given the most prominent speaking slot. Sanders came close to winning MA in 2016, and the progressive grassroots community in the state has mostly stayed with him.
Will she continue after a loss in her home state? I’m not sure. There are unique factors that make a MA win difficult for her, even if she was doing better nationally it wouldn’t be a sure thing.