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Politics
Aside
Feb 3, 2020 18:34
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The worst case scenario for Joe Biden tonight is a fourth place finish. Biden’s allies will attempt to spin it as unreflective of his actual abilities, but it will severely diminish his electability appeal, which is basically his main selling point to voters.

And every bit of hesitation among voters chips away at his fire-wall in the South, which is significantly weaker than Clinton’s in 2016 and more akin to Clinton’s in 2008, which (partially) fell to Obama after his win in Iowa.

IOWA DIARY: The worst case scenario for Biden

The worst case likely scenario for Joe Biden tonight is a fourth place finish. Biden’s allies will attempt to spin it as unreflective of his actual abilities, but it will severely diminish his electability appeal, which is basically his main selling point to voters.

And every bit of hesitation among voters chips away at his fire-wall in the South, which is significantly weaker than Clinton’s in 2016 and more akin to Clinton’s in 2008, which (partially) fell to Obama after his win in Iowa.