Here’s something interesting: according to Morning Consult’s first poll following Kamala Harris’s departure, only Bernie Sanders saw a measurable bump in national support. He rose two percent, while Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren only rose by one percent. Pete Buttigieg saw no growth. The small bump puts Sanders in his best position nationally since April.
Sander’s growth nationally did not seem to translate to early primary states, where he only gained one percent. Biden and Warren actually saw stronger growth in the early primary states than Sanders, rising 2% and 3% respectively compared to last week. Buttigieg, plagued by questions around his transparency and ability to reach out to minority voters, saw his support erode by 4%.
Harris’ support nationally was expected to translate fairly evenly between the top three candidates, with a slight edge towards Warren. We’ll see if that initial prediction bears out in the coming weeks, but for now, it seems to be Sanders who is benefiting most.